Not an Inflation Hedge: Bitcoin Showing Close Correlation With Stocks, Says Bank of America Analysts

Not an Inflation Hedge: Bitcoin Showing Close Correlation With Stocks, Says Bank of America Analysts

Bank of America has launched a report just lately, questioning the standing of bitcoin as an inflation hedge contemplating its current correlation with the inventory market.

Two analysts from the Wall Street large Bank of America have known as bitcoin a danger asset somewhat than an inflation hedge in a current report, saying that cryptocurrency usually tracks inventory market habits. Alkesh Shah and Andrew Moss identified the excessive diploma of correlation between the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Bitcoin, the 180 days ending Jan. 31, 2022. The macro pattern continues, with bitcoin dropping to only beneath $36K following the Federal Reserve’s announcement of an rate of interest hike this previous Thursday, according to a major inventory selloff.  The Federal Reserve’s announcement of a 0.5% rate of interest enhance comes because it battles to struggle rising inflation on account of authorities stimulus packages necessitated by the Covid-19 pandemic.

“Interest rates increased, crypto markets dumped. As far as Bitcoin goes, it looks like we’re going to kiss the $35000 are,” mentioned TikTok crypto pundit Wendy O on Friday.

Ukraine warfare additionally a contributing issue

The warfare in Ukraine has additionally performed its half. “Like all risk assets, crypto prices this year have been disproportionately driven by the war in Ukraine, inflation, and the outlook on Fed Policy (particularly the taper schedule),” mentioned Ben McMillan from IDX Digital Assets. “So while we’re seeing crypto prices at relatively attractive prices on a longer-term outlook, there could still be a considerable downside in the near-term,” he concluded.

Why is bitcoin thought-about an inflation hedge?

One of the arguments for bitcoin being an inflation hedge is its restricted provide of 21 million. Unlike central banks, which may print fiat cash for presidency aid packages and different functions and therefore enhance the circulation of fiat indefinitely, driving up costs of necessities, there can by no means be greater than 21 million bitcoins.

Recently, former star of The O.C. and crypto critic Ben McKenzie derided bitcoin’s pedigree as an inflation hedge, citing its decline since a November excessive of $69K as a motive to query the inflation hedge speculation.

While some take into account bitcoin as a retailer of worth, there was zero correlation between bitcoin and gold since June final 12 months, a worth which has turned damaging prior to now two months. “Bitcoin is still early in its maturity curve to be firmly in the category of digital gold,” mentioned Vijay Ayyar, a senior govt mentioned to CNBC. He famous that bitcoin wants extra adoption to be thought-about digital gold.

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